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Economic Outlook – Sep 2022

       

    The Economic Forecast produced by EuCham remarkably consolidates and aggregates a multitude of other projections. Synthesising in a single result the different estimates of hundreds of economists and researchers from IMF, World Bank, OECD, ECB, Bank of China, and many other distinct institutions from different continents, it generates a safer prediction structure. Combining and integrating often dissimilar and unassociated views of diverse institutions which may have access to distinct and unofficial information, it aims at calculating the best assessments regarding the upcoming times. The purpose of the new Economic Forecast is to reduce uncertainty about the future, allowing private and public entities to make better decisions and prepare for the time ahead.

    The report (2 pages, pdf) is available here –> EuCham Economic Outlook Sep 2022 
    The complete data set (all sources and results) is shared in Google Docs at bit.ly/eucham-2022-09

    PRESS KIT: Infographics for press and social media

       

     


    FORECAST  •  European Economic Outlook 2022/23  • FORECAST

      GDP growth %
    FORECAST
    Inflation %
    FORECAST

    Unemployment %
    FORECAST
      Currencies in USD
    FORECAST

      2022 F 2023 F 2022 F 2023 F 2022 F 2023 F   2022 F 2023 F

    Germany

    1.5

    1.1

    7.6

    4.5

    3.0

    3.0

    EUR

    0.99

    1.11

    UK

    3.4

    0.3

    8.8

    6.5

    3.9

    4.3

    GBP

    1.14

     

    France

    2.4

    0.9

    5.6

    3.8

    7.3

    7.5

    EUR

    0.99

    1.11

    Italy

    2.8

    0.9

    6.9

    3.3

    8.9

    8.9

    EUR

    0.99

    1.11

    Russia

    -8.3

    -2.5

    17.0

    8.5

    6.5

    6.0

    RUB

    73.22

     

    Spain

    4.3

    2.3

    8.4

    3.8

    13.7

    13.3

    EUR

    0.99

    1.11

    Netherlands

    3.4

    1.2

    9.8

    4.4

    3.7

    4.1

    EUR

    0.99

    1.11

    Switzerland

    2.4

    1.2

    2.7

    1.6

    4.7

    4.6

    CHF

    0.98

    0.97

    Turkey

    3.5

    3.2

    71.8

    36.2

    11.6

    11.1

    TRY

    21.07

    21.25

    Poland

    4.2

    2.6

    11.8

    8.9

    3.4

    3.3

    PLN

    4.97

     

    Sweden

    2.3

    1.2

    6.6

    3.9

    7.5

    7.2

    SEK

    11.08

     

    Belgium

    2.4

    0.9

    9.0

    4.0

    5.9

    5.9

    EUR

    0.99

    1.11

    Ireland

    5.5

    3.4

    7.3

    3.8

    5.2

    4.9

    EUR

    0.99

    1.11

    Austria

    3.9

    1.2

    6.6

    3.6

    5.1

    4.9

    EUR

    0.99

    1.11

    Norway

    3.3

    1.7

    5.1

    3.0

    2.8

    2.8

    NOK

    10.16

     

    Denmark

    3.0

    1.4

    6.6

    3.5

    4.7

    5.0

    DKK

    7.66

     

    Finland

    1.7

    0.9

    6.1

    3.2

    6.8

    7.0

    EUR

    0.99

    1.11

    Romania

    4.1

    3.4

    12.0

    8.1

    5.6

    5.4

    RON

    5.02

     

    Czech Rep.

    2.1

    2.3

    14.4

    7.3

    2.5

    2.5

    CZK

    25.56

     

    Portugal

    5.6

    1.8

    6.5

    3.2

    5.9

    5.7

    EUR

    0.99

    1.11

    Greece

    3.8

    2.6

    8.9

    3.1

    13.1

    12.4

    EUR

    0.99

    1.11

    Kazakhstan

    2.8

    4.0

    12.6

    8.2

    4.9

    4.8

    KZT

    494.4

    490.0

    Ukraine

    -40.0

    6.5

    20.7

    13.6

    25.0

    15.0

    UAH

    38.09

     

    Hungary

    4.5

    2.4

    12.0

    9.5

    3.8

    3.7

    HUF

    434.9

     

    Slovakia

    1.9

    2.6

    10.8

    8.8

    6.6

    6.3

    EUR

    0.99

    1.11

    Luxembourg

    2.4

    2.5

    8.2

    3.0

    5.0

    5.0

    EUR

    0.99

    1.11

    Bulgaria

    2.7

    2.8

    13.5

    7.3

    5.0

    4.9

    BGN

    1.68

     

    Belarus

    -5.8

    -0.2

    16.9

    11.3

    4.0

    4.0

    BYN

    2.79

     

    Croatia

    4.1

    3.3

    7.2

    3.6

    6.8

    6.4

    EUR

    0.99

    1.11

    Lithuania

    1.9

    2.6

    15.7

    6.0

    7.1

    7.2

    EUR

    0.99

    1.11

    Slovenia

    4.9

    2.4

    8.0

    5.0

    4.1

    4.0

    EUR

    0.99

    1.11

    Serbia

    3.5

    3.4

    10.2

    6.3

    10.5

    10.0

    RSD

    120.7

     

    Azerbaijan

    3.5

    2.7

    12.8

    9.1

       

    AZN

    1.69

     

    Latvia

    2.8

    2.4

    13.6

    6.6

    7.2

    6.3

    EUR

    0.99

    1.11

    Estonia

    1.5

    2.3

    14.7

    6.3

    6.5

    6.8

    EUR

    0.99

    1.11

    Cyprus

    2.9

    3.2

    7.0

    3.1

    7.0

    6.4

    EUR

    0.99

    1.11

    Iceland

    4.8

    2.8

    6.5

    3.7

    4.5

    4.5

    ISK

    145.9

     

    Bosnia & Herz

    2.1

    2.5

    10.0

    4.0

    16.8

    16.3

    BAM

    2.02

     

    Georgia

    4.1

    5.4

           

    GEL

    2.92

     

    Albania

    3.2

    3.4

    6.1

    3.5

    11.2

    11.0

    ALL

    120.7

     

    Malta

    5.4

    4.6

    5.5

    3.3

    3.3

    3.4

    EUR

    0.99

     

    N. Macedonia

    1.9

    2.8

    11.0

    6.0

    15.0

    14.5

    MKD

    62.73

     

    Armenia

    2.4

    4.0

    8.6

    5.0

       

    AMD

    416.5

     

    Moldova

    -0.4

    2.9

    25.0

    13.0

    3.5

    3.5

    MDL

    19.55

     

    Kosovo

    3.6

    3.9

    8.5

    4.3

    24.3

    23.8

    EUR

    0.99

    1.11

    Montenegro

    3.6

    4.2

    10.0

    4.0

    15.3

    14.8

    EUR

    0.99

    1.11


    Euro area

    2.6

    1.4

    7.4

    3.9

    6.9

    6.8

    EUR

    0.99

    1.11

    European Union

    2.6

    2.0

    8.0

    4.6

    6.3

    6.1

         
    World

    3.0

    2.8

    6.5

    4.9